Sam Altman says OpenAI will have AGI by the end of 2026 if you accept his definition
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OpenAI CEO Sam Altman told TIME that the company will have an internal system he would call artificial general intelligence (AGI) by the end of 2026, though they are 'not quite yet' there. Chief Research Officer Mark Chen estimates OpenAI is '80% of the way' to AGI, while co-founder Greg Brockman believes this period will be seen as AGI's emergence. Central to this confidence is Astra, OpenAI's upcoming model family, which Chief Scientist Jakub Pachocki says already works as an automated research intern capable of writing code, running experiments, and doing work that would take a human researcher about a week. Altman expects Astra to be the first model that 'invents new things in a way that matters,' a capability he calls 'very AGI-like.' However, the article notes deep debate over whether language models can truly generalize and make new discoveries, and that AGI has no precise definition. OpenAI's own definition focuses on highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work. The report also covers OpenAI's hardware plans, including a puck-shaped device expected in early 2027 and humanoid robots, as well as efforts to make money through ads in ChatGPT and a product called ChatGPT Work.
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